[問題]大全19-15

邏輯思維的訓練,考試戰場上的對決

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[問題]大全19-15

帖子shena » 2005-06-02 19:53

Over the last century, paleontologists have used small differences between fossil specimens to classify triceratops into sixteen species. This classification is unjustified, however, since the specimens used to distinguish eleven of the species come from animals that lived in the same area at the same time.

Which of the following, if true, would enable the conclusion of the argument to be properly drawn?

(A) Not every species that lived in a given area is preserved as a fossil.
(B) At least one individual of every true species of triceratops has been discovered as a fossil specimen.
(C) No geographical area ever supports more than three similar species at the same time.
(D) In many species, individuals display quite marked variation.
(E) Differences between fossil specimens of triceratops that came from the same area are no less distinctive than differences between specimens that came from different areas.

Ans:(C)

請問這題該如何解釋?
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帖子Behemoth » 2005-06-02 20:39

本題是考慮樣本數不充足的可能性來做出結論
所以選c作為前提

只有在任一地不會有超過三種化石出現
才可順利推出結論所說---原本分類不正確,因為用來分辨十一種化石是從同一地點採集的
換言之,原本的分類可能有樣本數不足的缺陷
Eric Chang
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MIT Sloan School of Management
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