Prep-T2-Q45

[Huang Hsin-Yi]

45. (33087-!-item-!-188;#058&007558)

The recent decline in the value of the dollar was triggered by a prediction of slower economic growth in the coming year. But that prediction would not have adversely affected the dollar had it not been for the government's huge budget deficit, which must therefore be decreased to prevent future currency declines.
經濟成長緩慢的預測引發美元下跌,但那個預測不會負面影響美元有的政府大量預算赤字,這些必須被防止未來幣值下跌所減少
Which of the following, if true, would most seriously weaken the conclusion about how to prevent future currency declines?

(A) The government has made little attempt to reduce the budget deficit.
(B) The budget deficit has not caused a slowdown in economic growth.
(C) The value of the dollar declined several times in the year prior to the recent prediction of slower economic growth.
(D) Before there was a large budget deficit, predictions of slower economic growth frequently caused declines in the dollar's value.
(E) When there is a large budget deficit, other events in addition to predictions of slower economic growth sometimes trigger declines in currency value.


Ans:D
雖然選對 但實在心虛
不懂

[yilingsky]

OG10 的解釋

The argument assumes that a particular predict can cause a currency decline only if accompanied by a large
budget deficit.

Since choice D states that this prediction can cause a currency decline without a large budget
deficit, choice D is the best answer.
That a method is not fully implemented does not imply that the method is ineffective. Thus, choice A is
inappropriate.

Since no slowdown in economic growth is asserted, what might cause such a slowdown is
irrelevant. Thus, choice B is inappropriate.

Since C supports the claim that a budget deficit is the underlying
cause of the currency decline, C is inappropriate.

Choice E is inappropriate because it supports the claim that a
decrease in the budget deficit is necessary.



傷咖討論稿:

http://www.formosamba.com/phpBB3/viewtopi ... year#62708

[Huang Hsin-Yi]

感恩
但我還是沒看懂

[jayla]

喔~看了og解釋才明白題目意思。
原題說最近的貶值是因為預測未來的經濟遲緩。但是沒有政府龐大的預算赤字，預測就不會有這樣的反效果。
也就是說，預測造成貶值，前提是政府有預算赤字的因素。
要weaken，D說了，在赤字之前，對經濟遲緩的預測就已經影響貨幣價值了，所以否定了預算赤字的因素。