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T-3-Q3

邏輯思維的訓練,考試戰場上的對決

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T-3-Q3

文章Huang Hsin-Yi » 2008-05-16 15:39

T-3-Q3.
Scientists have made genetic modifications to cotton to increase its resistance to insect pests. According to farmers’ report, the amount of insecticide needed per acre to control insect pests was only slightly lower for those who tried the modified seed than for those who did not. Therefore, since the modified seed costs more than ordinary seed without producing yields of higher market value, switching to the modified seed would be unlikely to benefit most cotton farmers economically.

Which of the following would it be most useful to know in order to evaluate the argument?

A.Whether farmers who tried the modified cotton seed had ever tried growing other crops from genetically modified seed.
B.Whether the insecticides typically used on ordinary cotton tend to be more expensive than insecticides typically used on other crops.
C.Whether for most farms who grow cotton it is their primary crop
D.Whether the farmers who have tried the modified seed planted as many acres of cotton, on average, as farmers using the ordinary seed did.
E.Whether most of the farmers who tried the modified seed did so because they had previously had to use exceptionally large quantities of insecticide.

Ans:B

為何是B勒
題目不是在比較 基因改良的種子和沒基因改良的種子嗎

是不是說,cotton的 殺蟲劑比一般貴,因此就算only slightly lower for those who tried the modified seed than for those who did not,也可以超過種子的成本,是這個意思嗎? 8-)
Huang Hsin-Yi
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文章ad264 » 2008-05-18 20:37

我之前的回答有問題,因為看到了國外的討論帖:

http://www.urch.com/forums/gmat-critica ... d-one.html
Look on the bright side
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文章Huang Hsin-Yi » 2008-05-21 17:46

國外的網站,大部份倒向E(和我之前選的一樣)
不過,想想E不對,是因為它推翻原題資訊,無法做為評量條件

(E).Whether most of the farmers who tried the modified seed did so because they had previously had to use exceptionally large quantities of insecticide.

原題
According to farmers’ report, the amount of insecticide needed per acre to control insect pests was only slightly lower for those who tried the modified seed than for those who did not

原題說:農夫說,基因種子農藥只用少一點
而E說: 農夫以前用的農藥量很大
這樣是無法評量這個基因種子到底有沒有效拉
Huang Hsin-Yi
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文章Huang Hsin-Yi » 2008-05-21 17:49

這個人,跟我想法一樣,參考看看


I still stick with B. Please comment how my logic (below) is weakened:
My basic assumption: "other crops" implies all other crops except ordinary cotton. This would include the modified cotton variety as well...

With this assumption, even if the price of modified cotton seeds is higher, it can be compensated by the fact the ordinary cotton will need much more expensive insecticides and that too in (slightly) higher quantities.

I konw i am digging this thread out of the dead. But i firmly stand by choice B. Can anyone prove this logic to be flawed??
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文章chencraig0227 » 2008-05-21 19:32

頭像
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文章Huang Hsin-Yi » 2008-05-21 22:18

看了四頁連結,及和老闆討論,還是覺得B好 :laugh
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文章stamps » 2008-05-26 21:51

這題我選D 理由:
B:有致命性的錯誤比較對象:other crops
E:雖然可能因農藥原來的使用量很大而使總成本大量下降;但原文中改良後種子較未改良種子到底成本高多少不可得;故最後結果是否可得原文結論"經濟考量下較不可能改用改良後種子"會是一個問號

D:理由同hey,覺得作者說到底是要我們比較“用改良後種子“與“用原來種子“生產下的二種總成本的比較;在題目已揭示二種種子的產品市場價值差不多的前提下,應比較二者種植面積相同的情況下,何者所花成本高

有點像經濟學常用的手法:固定total output=>求TC1與TC2何者高

welcome to further discussion
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文章Huang Hsin-Yi » 2008-05-26 22:16

stamps \$m[1]:這題我選D 理由:
B:有致命性的錯誤比較對象:other crops
E:雖然可能因農藥原來的使用量很大而使總成本大量下降;但原文中改良後種子較未改良種子到底成本高多少不可得;故最後結果是否可得原文結論"經濟考量下較不可能改用改良後種子"會是一個問號

D:理由同hey,覺得作者說到底是要我們比較“用改良後種子“與“用原來種子“生產下的二種總成本的比較;在題目已揭示二種種子的產品市場價值差不多的前提下,應比較二者種植面積相同的情況下,何者所花成本高

我個人看法是,題目討論基因種子比較好的理由,已經是建立在公平的評量單位
也就是 每英畝的農藥量及產出的經際價值o因此 D討論總面積量無法評量的


有點像經濟學常用的手法:固定total output=>求TC1與TC2何者高

welcome to further discussion
Huang Hsin-Yi
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文章: 1038
註冊時間: 2007-08-17 00:41
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